Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Not A Good Climate To Be a Climatologist

I have read a few of these emails that have been posted and found the one below to be interesting.. I am told this is from file 0848679780.txt Too may games..I have removed the ending of the email addresses but that is all.

From: gjjenkins@meto.
To: p.jones@uea.ac.uk, deparker@meadow
Subject: 1996 global temperatures
Date: Fri, 22 Nov 1996 11:23 +0000 (GMT)
Cc: llivingston@meadow., djcarson@meadow., ckfolland@meadow.


     Phil
    
     Remember all the fun we had last year over 1995 global temperatures,
     with early release of information (via Oz), "inventing" the December
     monthly value, letters to Nature etc etc?
    
       I think we should have a cunning plan about what to do this year,
     simply to avoid a lot of wasted time.
    
     I have been discussing with David P and suggest the following:
    
     1. By 20 Dec we will have land and sea data up to Nov
    
     2. David (?) computes the December land anomaly based on 500hPa
     heights up to 20 Dec.
    
     3. We assume that Dec SST anomaly is the same as Nov
    
     4. We can therefore give a good estimate of 1996 global temps by 20
     Dec
    
     5. We feed this selectively to Nick Nuttall (who has had this in the
     past and seems now to expect special treatment) so that he can write
     an article for the silly season. We could also give this to Neville
     Nicholls??
    
     6. We explain that data is provisional and how the data has been
     created so early (ie the estimate for Dec) and also
    
     7. We explain why the globe is 0.23k (or whatever the final figure is)
     cooler than 95 (NAO reversal, slight La Nina). Also that global annual
     avg is only accuirate to a few hundredths of a degree (we said this
     last year - can we be more exact, eg PS/MS 0.05K or is this to big??)
    
     8. FROM NOW ON WE ANSWER NO MORE ENQUIRIES ABOUT 1996 GLOBAL TEMPS BUT
     EXPLAIN THAT IT WILL BE RELEASED IN JANUARY.
    
     9. We relesae the final estimate on 20 Jan, with a joint UEA/MetO
     press release. It may not evoke any interest by then. 
    
     10. For questions after the release to Nuttall, (I late Dec, early
     Jan) we give the same answer as we gave him. 
    
      Are you happy with this, or can you suggest something better (ie
     simpler)? I know it sound a bit cloak-and-dagger but its just meant to
     save time in the long run.
    
     Im copying this to DEP and CKF also for comments.
    
     Cheers
    
     Geoff

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